Globesity: How climate change and obesity draw from the same roots

June 22, 2009 at 10:45 am

(Source: Grist.org via T4America)

Image Courtesy: Photo illustration by Tom Twigg/Grist

You’ve heard all the reasons before: We drive too much. We eat too much meat and processed food. We spend too much time with plugged-in devices—computers, TVs, air conditioners.

But what problem are we talking about—climate change, or the worldwide rise in obesity?

Both, according to Globesity: A Planet Out of Control?, a book by four public-health researchers who show how climate change and obesity draw from a shared web of roots. Both problems worsen as car culture spreads, desk jobs replace manual jobs, and carbon-intensive foods (including meat) become available to more and more eaters, according to the book, published first in French and this spring in English.

The two issues spread across the planet in similar ways. Those paying attention to climate change know the planet can’t afford for the developing world to emit carbon dioxide at the same levels as the industrialized world. Public-health workers, too, foresee enormous trouble if developing countries adopt the worst dietary and lifestyle habits of rich countries. That shift is well underway, according to Michelle Holdsworth, Globesity’s lead author and a nutritionist with the World Health Organization (WHO) in Montpellier, France.

Rates of obesity—defined by the WHO as a body mass index of 30 or higher—are now higher in Germany, Finland, and the Czech Republic than in the U.S., according to data from the International Obesity Task Force (IOTF). The same is true in some Mediterranean countries famed for their healthy diets: Greece, Egypt, and Cyprus. Traditional olive oil-centric diets have become too high in fat for populations that are less active than they used to be, said Holdsworth. And traditional diets are losing ground.

Even more disturbing is the rise in childhood obesity. Again, America was a trailblazer, and again, much of the world is catching up quickly. Childhood obesity rates doubled in the U.S. from 1975 (15 percent) to 1995 (30 percent), according to the IOTF. England’s childhood obesity rate caught up in half the time, from 15 percent in 1995 to 30 percent in 2005. More from the book: “Mediterranean countries are among the worse hit, so that in Spain, Italy, Albania or Greece, we find the numbers of overweight children already climbing to between 30 and 40 percent.”

Globesity‘s message is somewhat at odds with research published in April that concludes overweight people, by requiring more food and energy to transport, produce more greenhouse gases. “Moving about in a heavy body is like driving in a gas guzzler,” one of the two London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine authors told the U.K. Sun, which ran the thoroughly lame headline “Fatties Cause Global Warming.”

So here’s some good news: The problems of obesity and climate change may be connected, but so are many solutions. Rethinking neighborhoods to encourage bicycling and walking (and walking school buses), for example, would help on both fronts. Junk food requires more energy to produce than healthy food, so “junk food taxes,” limits on advertising to children, and clear labeling standards would also help both problems. Simply cutting subsidies that give a cost advantage to junk-food staples like corn syrup could do a great deal. But that requires political courage.

Click here to read the entire article.

Bureau of Transportation Statistics Releases Report on Motorcycle Trends in the United States.

June 19, 2009 at 11:23 pm

The Insurance Institute for Highway Safety recently reported that motorcyclists who ride racing style motorcycles known as "supersports" have driver death rates "nearly 4 times higher than motorcyclists who ride all other types of bikes." Capable of extreme acceleration and speed, supersports are particularly popular with young riders.

The Bureau of Transportation Statistics of the Research and Innovative Technology Administration today released “Motorcycle Trends in the United States”, a special report on the current and emerging trends involving street-legal motorcycles.  During the last decade there has been a significant increase in the number of motorcycle sales and registrations in the United States.  At the same time there has been a shift in the demographics of motorcycle users and increased focus on motorcycle safety issues. This report focuses on the current and emerging trends of vehicles, vehicle registrations, owner demographics, training and safetyinvolving street-legal (on-road and dual-purpose) motorcycles. Seen below is an extract of the report’s sections.

Vehicles

In the United States, although no universal or official definition exists, a motorcycle is a two- or three-wheel powered vehicle designed for on-road, off-road, or dual-purpose (on and off-road) use. On-road and dual-purpose motorcycles must meet federal and state certification standards and be licensed (registered) for use on public roadways, although light powered two-wheel vehicles with engines smaller than 50cc, known as mopeds or light scooters, as well as motorized bicycles, are typically allowed to operate on public roadways without registration. Motorcycle designs, technologies, and gear are expanding and evolving rapidly. While there is no universal standard, street-legal motorcycles in the United States are often grouped as shown in Box A. Laws regulating motorcycle equipment requirements for on-highway (street-legal) or off-highway operation, and insurance, age, licensing, and training requirements, vary across the U.S. 1

Vehicle Registrations and Sales

Because the majority of motorcycles in use must be registered for operations on public highways, registrations provide some indication of the number of motorcycles in use on public roadways each year. Motorcycle registrations in the United States have grown each of the past 10 years, from 3,826,373 in 1997 to 6,678,958 in 2006—a 75 percent increase overall.2 Sales of new street-legal motorcycles grew even more sharply over the same period, from 260,000 in 1997 to 892,000 in 2006 (a 243 percent increase), but declined slightly to 885,000 in 2007 (table 1).3 , 4

Motorcycle engine sizes and motorcycle weights are increasing in the United States. While new sales of motorcycles with engines of 750cc or more increased 54.0 percent in 2003 compared to 1998, and those with midsized engines of 450-749cc increased 16.6 percent, sales of motorcycles with smaller engine sizes decreased during the same period, especially in the midsized 350-449cc category, which declined 60.1 percent (table 2).

Between 2005 and 2007, sales of sport bikes (including supersport bikes) increased from 16 to 19 percent of all motorcycle sales (including off-road bikes, which are not distinguished from on-road motorcycles in the available total sales data); sales of touring bikes increased from 13 to 15 percent; sales of dual-purpose bikes increased from 3 to 4 percent, while sales of off-highway bikes decreased from 27 to 22 percent of total motorcycle sales (table 3).

During the first three quarters of 2008, total new on-highway (i.e., street-legal) motorcycle sales (excluding dual purpose motorcycles and scooters) declined 2.1 percent from the corresponding period in 2007, with reported sales of 548,747 in 2008 compared to 560,529 in 2007. Dual purpose motorcycle sales increased 29.4 percent, with sales of 39,805 units during the first three quarters of 2008 compared to 30,759 units during the same period of 2007. Concurrent with record fuel prices in 2008, scooter sales increased 50.6 percent. There were 69,227 units sold in the first three quarters of 2008 compared to 45,975 units sold in the first three quarters of 2007. Combining data for on highway motorcycles, dual motorcycles, and scooters gives total sales of 657,779 during the first three quarters of 2008 as compared to 637,263 during the same period of 2007, a modest 3.22 percent increase in units sold.5

Motorcycle Owner Demographics

Survey data from the Motorcycle Industry Council on motorcycle owner demographics for the 1985 to 2003 period reveals a shift towards older owners. The median age of owners increased from 27.1 years in 1985 to 41.0 years in 2003. From 1985 to 2003, the percentage of owners 40–49 years old increased from 13.2 to 27.9 percent, and the percentage of owners 50+ years old increased from 8.1 to 25.1 percent (table 4). Also, survey results for 2003 indicated that 90 percent of owners were male, while survey results for 1998 indicated that 92 percent of owners were male, a slight—but probably not statistically significant—trend consistent with growing female ownership.

Training

The Motorcycle Safety Foundation (MSF) offers motorcycle rider education and training programs and courses, and supports governmental programs by participating in research and public awareness campaigns and providing technical assistance to state training and licensing programs. 6 The MSF reports that about 4.5 million riders have graduated from their rider training courses since 1974. The Motorcycle Industry Council cites MSF data showing that the number of students trained in MSF courses has increased steadily from about 130,000 in 1996 to about 370,000 in 2006. During the same period, there has been an increase in MSF course training sites from about 875 to about 2,125. In 2006, there were just over 9,000 MSF certified RiderCoaches (experienced motorcyclists who complete an intensive preparation course to become trainers) compared to only 3,500 in 1996.

Most recently, the National Traffic Safety Division (NTSD) of the Transportation Safety Institute (http://www.tsi.dot.gov/), Research and Innovative Technology Administration, U.S. Department of Transportation developed a course on motorcycle safety program coordination (MSPC) to train motorcycle safety program managers at the state and federal level on the best practices, program fundamentals, and latest strategies for effective motorcycle program management. The MSPC course is sponsored by the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) and intended to provide training to State Highway Safety Office program personnel and NHTSA Regional Program Managers to enable them to better facilitate and support a comprehensive motorcycle safety program in their state or region. The second of two pilot courses was completed in September 2008, with final course revisions based on experience with the pilots to be completed after that.

Safety

The growth in motorcycle sales and registrations in the United States has been accompanied by an increase in accidents, property losses, injuries, and fatalities involving motorcycles. As shown in table 5, from 1997 to 2007, the annual number of motorcyclist fatalities increased from 2,116 to 5,154 (a 144 percent increase), and the estimated number of motorcyclist injuries increased from 53,000 to 103,000 (a 94 percent increase).7

Although motorcycle registrations and vehicle-miles traveled both increased substantially from 1997 to 2006 (the last year for which registration data are currently available), these exposure measures do not account for all the growth in motorcyclist fatalities, because during that period, motorcyclist fatalities increased proportionately more than registrations and vehicle-miles traveled. From 1997 to 2006, annual motorcyclist fatalities increased from 2,116 to 4,837 (a 128.6 percent increase), while fatalities per 100,000 registered motorcycles increased from 55.3 to 72.3 (a 30.7 percent increase), and fatalities per million motorcycle miles of travel increased from 21 to 39 (an 85.7 percent increase).

Also, during that same period, estimated annual motorcyclist injuries increased from 53,000 to 88,000 (a 66 percent increase), while estimated injuries per 100,000 registered motorcycles declined from 1,374 to 1,311 (a 4.8 percent decrease), and estimated injuries per million motorcycle miles of travel increased from 522 to 707 (a 35.4 percent increase).

Analysis of factors accounting for increasing motorcyclist fatality rates is beyond the scope of this brief overview of motorcycle trends, but one trend of concern to public health and safety experts is the relaxation of motorcycle helmet laws (See Box B).8 , 9

Another emerging trend of concern to public health and safety experts is the growing popularity of racing-style motorcycles known as supersports, which have high power-to-weight ratios and are capable of extreme acceleration and speed (160+ mph). Although designed for the racetrack, supersport motorcycles are marketed and sold to the general public and have become especially popular among young riders. On September 11, 2007, the Insurance Institute for Highway Safety (IIHS) released a report showing that “motorcyclists who ride supersports have driver death rates per 10,000 registered motorcycles nearly 4 times higher than motorcyclists who ride all other types of bikes.”10 The IIHS report also noted that among fatally injured motorcycle drivers, those riding supersports are the youngest, with an average age of 27. For both 2000 and 2005, the death rate for riders of supersport bikes is twice that of sport bike riders and four times that for riders of other motorcycle types (See table 6).

PDF version of the full report, complete with Tables referenced above, can be found at:

http://www.bts.gov/publications/bts_special_report/2009_05_14/index.html

Cash for Clunkers Update – June 19, 2009: Bill clears the Senate; Next-up President’s signature; Europe reports sales boost after scrapping plan

June 19, 2009 at 3:27 pm

(Source: Autoblog, Washington Post,  Detroit Free Press, AFP via Google)

Image Courtesy: Jalopnik

Clears Senate

After narrowly surviving an attempt by Sen. Judd Gregg, R-N.H. to strip it from a war-spending bill, the Cash for Clunkers program passed the Senate yesterday evening. Well, the $106 billion war-spending bill passed the Senate on a 91-5 vote, but the $1 billion scrapping program earlier survived Sen. Gregg’s attempt to have it removed and thus passed, as well. Now the bill makes its way to President Obama, who is expected to sign the bill into law, after which the U.S. Transportation Department reportedly has one month to figure out how the Cash for Clunkers program will be run. Since Congress reduced funding for the program from $4 billion to just $1 billion, it’s expected that the money will run out long before the program is scheduled to end on November 1.

“We are gratified that the Congress delivered on this administration priority, and President Obama looks forward to signing it into law,” according to an administration statement.

Details, Details, Details,

Vehicles purchased after July 1 will be eligible for the refund vouchers worth as much as $4,500 to turn in gas guzzlers and buy new cars that are more fuel efficient.

The agency in charge of administering the program, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, will work out all the details within 30 days of enactment, according to Rae Tyson, spokesman for NHTSA.

Congress predicts this will result in the sale of about 250,000 new vehicles. The funding is good only until Nov. 1 and could run out before that. In that case, the voucher pro gram — unless Congress ap propriates more — would end.

Consumers would be able to start using the vouchers as soon as the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration finalizes the rules — a process that must conclude within 30 days of the president’s approval.

Under the program, trade-in vehicles, 1984 models or newer, must have average fuel economy of no more than 18 miles per gallon. And the new car or truck must get better gas mileage than the one that was scrapped.

The payoff grows depending on the difference in the fuel efficiencies of the old and new cars. For instance, a new car getting at least 4 more miles per gallon than the old car will be eligible for a $3,500 voucher. A new car getting at least 10 more miles per gallon would get a $4,500 voucher.

To guarantee vehicles are actually roadworthy — and not just sitting on cinder blocks — trade-ins must be registered and insured to the same owner for at least a year.

Kudos & Pats in the Backs

Image Courtesy: Apture

Cash for clunkers proponents in Congress said the subsidies will spur sales.”The simple fact is that we need to get Americans into car showrooms and this is the bill that will do it,” said Rep. Candice Miller, R-Mich., in a statement.

Sen. Debbie Stabenow, D-Mich., said the program will boost jobs in auto states. “This program will provide an economic stimulus at a time when hardworking families need it most,” Stabenow said in a statement.

GM said it had decided to keep 60 of the more than 1,000 dealers with whom it had sought to terminate agreements. The reversals were made after the automaker corrected financial information that was used to evaluate which stores to keep.  Dealers applauded the Senate’s action yesterday, and some got additional good news.  John McEleney, chairman of the National Automobile Dealers Association, hailed the measure, saying it “will boost consumer confidence, get the economy going again and reduce our dependence on foreign oil. Congress is giving consumers a strong incentive to replace their older vehicles with new, more fuel efficient cars and trucks.”

Transportation Secretary Ray LaHood said “The program is an important step forward for America. “It provides incentives for consumers to buy new, more fuel-efficient cars and trucks, providing a boost to the auto industry and protecting jobs, while limiting fuel use and greenhouse gas emissions.”

The legislation comes with number-one US automaker General Motors in bankruptcy and Chrysler emerging from court protection under a government-backed alliance with Italy’s Fiat in the face of plunging auto sales.

Cash for Clunkers Update from Europe (Channel 4 via Autobloggreen)

Several other countries, such as China and Italy, have offered similar trade-in vouchers. And lawmakers point to the success of Germany’s program as indication that vouchers can turn dismal auto sales around.  At the end of the program’s first month, sales in Germany were up 21 percent from a year before. During the same period, U.S. sales slumped 41 percent. Now,  a leading provider of automotive data and intelligence says the European motor industry is showing signs of recovery following the introduction of scrappage schemes on the continent.  According to a new study by Jato Dynamics, the European automotive market may be rebounding ever so slightly from its alarming lows of early 2009.

Though new car purchases are down by just over 13 percent year-on-year, there was actually a mild 2.4 percent improvement in May over April. The German market is now 39.7% up on May 2008 – a 20.3% improvement over last month’s figures. France, meanwhile, is up 11.8% over the figures for April.  “If Germany provides a template for the other markets where scrappage schemes have been introduced, we may be at the very beginning of a period of recovery in Europe. It’s far too early to know what the sustained effects of the incentives will be, but at a time when the industry needs to see some rays of hope, it’s encouraging to witness some improvement ” says David Di Girolamo, Head of Jato Consult. Interestingly, small, fuel efficient hatchbacks are performing better than the rest of the market, which is thought to be due to the various scrapping schemes in Europe.

The US market has steadied somewhat from lows earlier this year but the sales pace in May remained 33.7 percent below that of one year ago.  Let’s hope the American consumers will follow their European counterparts in boosting the vehicle market> Eeven if it is only a liitle, the market can use any push to build its recovery.

Rubber Meets the Road (& Gas Tank, Clouds, etc ) – USDOT Proposes New, Consumer-friendly Environmental & Fuel Efficiency Rating Labels for Tires

June 19, 2009 at 2:05 pm
(Source:  NHTSA & USA Today)

Image Courtesy: NHTSA, USDOT

The U.S. Department of Transportation today proposed a new, consumer-friendly replacement tire label which would include, for the first time, information about the tire’s impact on fuel economy and CO2 emission reductions. Tires with lower rolling resistance – and proper inflation pressure – can contribute to improved fuel economy (Click here to read the proposal.)

In addition to the new fuel efficiency ratings, the proposal by the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) also would provide consumers with two other key pieces of tire performance information – wet weather traction and tread wear. All three ratings would be prominently displayed on a removable label attached to the replacement tire at the point of sale.  NHTSA is required by the Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007 to issue a final rule by December 2009.

The new, three-tiered ratings also will appear on safercar.gov to help consumers in compare ratings as they shop for new tires.

Making sure consumers know which tires are the best gas savers could take up to a 2% whack out of the 135 billion gallons of fuel the nation consumes every year, estimates the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA).

The removable label would be affixed to the tire, but since many consumers never see replacement tires that go on their cars, it would be available online, as well.  NHTSA already has lots of tire information on its SaferCar.gov website.

One of the main trade organizations for the tire industry, the Rubber Manufacturers Association, hasn’t taken a stand yet on the proposed federal rule, but supports the idea in concept.

You can see from the sample that the new label would include–for the first time–information about the tire’s impact on fuel economy and CO2 emission reductions, wet weather traction and tread wear.

NHTSA’s proposal would let consumers look at a single label and compare a tire’s overall performance as it relates to fuel economy, safety and durability, which should be pretty useful for consumers looking to buy a tire.

USAToday reports that the simplified labels have the blessings of an environmental group that has followed the effort. “Armed with efficiency ratings, consumers can choose replacement tires that can cut the gasoline consumption of their current car, minivan, SUV or pickup and save money with fewer trips to the pump,” said Luke Tonachel, vehicle analyst for the Natural Resources Defense Council in a blog note.

Since gas topped $4 a gallon last summer, more effort has gone into developing and marketing gas-saving tires. Goodyear says its new Assurance Fuel Max has 27% less rolling resistance than conventional tires. Michelin says its Energy Saver A/S is 8% more fuel efficient than other tires in its class.

While praising NHTSA for its efforts to push the new rating system, the Transportation Secretary Ray LaHood said in his blog “…proposal takes the guesswork out of buying the best tires for your vehicle.  Our proposal would let consumers look at a single label and compare a tire’s overall performance as it relates to fuel economy, safety and durability.”  He also noted that “while we’re talking tires, please remember that the best tires in the world will not keep drivers and passengers safe if they are underinflated or if vehicles are overloaded.”

For those interested in reading the proposal, click here.

Flying coach, just like everyone else – Judge Grants GM Approval to Cancel Jet Leases

June 19, 2009 at 11:50 am

(Source: Washington Post & Reuters)

General Motors executives will now fly commercial.

Image Courtesy: Autoblog

In a move that reflects the leaner company GM is seeking to become, the automaker on Thursday sought approval from a federal bankruptcy judge to terminate leases for all seven of its corporate aircraft, plus a hangar at a Detroit airport. Facing no objections, Judge Robert Gerber granted the request during a hearing in a Lower Manhattan courtroom that lasted less than 10 minutes.

“The new GM will have no jets — we’re all flying Delta,” GM spokesman Tom Wilkinson said in an interview.

The planes are leased from a division of General Electric and include five mid-range Gulfstream G350 business jets and two ultra-long Gulfstream GV jets, according to court documents.

Then-GM chief executive G. Richard Wagoner Jr. had been assailed by lawmakers at a hearing in November when he and other auto executives flew to Washington on private jets to ask for government funds. In March, Wagoner was pushed out by the Obama administration, which has pumped billions of dollars into GM and Chrysler.

In a recent court filing, GM said it was exercising “sound business judgment” in seeking to end the contracts. “The leases are not necessary or valuable to [GM’s] business activities,” the automaker said in the filing.

Corporate America has long argued that using private jets is a safety precaution and a way to maximize busy executives’ time by allowing them to avoid delays at crowded airports.

Chrysler also recently terminated its two aircraft leases. A spokesman for Ford, the only one of the Big Three Detroit automakers that hasn’t taken taxpayer funds, said the company is seeking to sell its five jets, which have been grounded since late last year. Ford’s chairman and chief executive have been chartering flights on an as-needed basis, the company said.

Click here to read the entire article.

Riches to Rags-Part -II: India’s Kingfisher Airlines Is a Cautionary Tale

June 19, 2009 at 11:25 am

Kingfisher Airlines of India promised passengers the royal treatment — flight attendants so comely they were called “flying models,” full meals even on short flights and curbside valets to carry their bags.

Image Courtesy: Apture - Kingfisher's Vijay Mallya

But how the mighty have fallen.
Short of cash and unable to pay its bills, the company has had to take on debt from India’s government-owned banks, pledge assets in exchange for loan guarantees, postpone delivery of new planes and search for a foreign investor.   Most symbolic, perhaps, instead of starting nonstop flights from India to California — as envisioned by the company’s flamboyant founder, Vijay Mallya — the airline last added a route from Calcutta to Dhaka, the capital city of Bangladesh.

Known as the “King of Good Times,” Mr. Mallya pursues a lavish lifestyle that includes a collection of hundreds of sports cars and a villa on the French Riviera. He built Kingfisher as a “premium” airline and, when passenger numbers were growing, placed big orders for planes, including five of the A380 superjumbo jets from Airbus, even though Kingfisher had never turned a profit.

Kingfisher lost 10.5 billion rupees, or $219 million, in the nine months that ended in December, the most recent figures available. India’s other large private airline, Jet Airways, reported a slight profit for the first quarter of this year, in part because of one-time tax credits. Kingfisher still owes $100 million to oil companies for jet fuel it bought in 2008, Mr. Mallya said. Those payments will be made by November.

Sorry State of India’s Aviation Business

Airlines around the world are suffering as businesses and individuals cut back on travel, but in India, by some measures, they are suffering more. And analysts say that in the months to come, Kingfisher, one of India’s top domestic carriers and one of the country’s most recognized brands, may be in for more pain than any other airline here.

Kingfisher’s troubles present a cautionary tale for investors and suppliers eager to do business in one of the few major economies still experiencing significant growth. Even as incomes and consumption continue to rise in India, success is not guaranteed — nor is a smooth ride.

Of the $9 billion that the International Air Transport Association estimates the global airline industry will lose in 2009, nearly a quarter will be lost by Indian airlines, which fly just 2 percent of the world’s passengers.

For India’s private airlines, “the next six to nine months are about survival,” said Kapil Arora, a partner with Ernst & Young’s aviation practice. To make it, they will have to cut costs relentlessly in marketing, technology and payroll, he said.

Even that may not be enough. After resisting for years, the Indian government is considering letting foreign airlines take a 25 percent stake in Indian carriers. But the rest of the world’s airlines are short of cash as well. “It’s going to take active government involvement” to keep India’s airlines in business, Mr. Arora said.

Image Courtesy: Extra Mirchi - A Kingfisher Promise

In an e-mail interview, Mr. Mallya brushed off suggestions that the company was struggling for survival. It will turn a profit in the next fiscal year, he said, and a $500 million loan, recently arranged by the State Bank of India and sold to an alliance of banks, is sufficient to keep the company going this year.

If that’s not enough, Mallya wants to proceed with his fleet expansion plans. Miranda Mills, vice president at Airbus, said the manufacturer had been in regular conversation with its Indian customers and was not worried about any of Kingfisher’s orders, including those for the A380.  “We work a long-term game,” Ms. Mills said. In the airline business, companies do not place an “order for the next year or two and then change your business model totally,” she said.

Unfortunately, that is just what the Indian government is encouraging airlines to do. “Individual customers have been thoroughly pampered all these years,” Praful Patel, the Indian civil aviation minister, said. Airlines need to redefine their business model, he said, and emulate no-frills carriers that are close to breaking even, like IndiGo and SpiceJet.

Indian airlines grew too much, too quickly during the recent boom, analysts say. At its zenith, the industry was adding six planes a month, when there was demand for only half that number, according to the New Delhi office of the Center for Asia Pacific Aviation, a consulting and research firm. To gain market share and attract customers who may never have flown before, airlines were pricing tickets way below cost.

Adding to their problems, Jet and Kingfisher made expensive acquisitions in 2007 — Jet Airways bought Air Sahara and Kingfisher Airlines bought Air Deccan. Analysts say that the airlines paid too much for the acquisitions and have taken too long to absorb the operations they acquired.

Next, surging fuel prices forced up ticket prices just as the global slowdown cut business and leisure travel. To make things worse, Indian airlines face much higher fixed costs than carriers in many other countries, like fuel taxes that can be five times the global average.

In India, “the big boys today have huge debts, massive fleets, are confronted with a marked slowdown in domestic and on the international side,” said Kapil Kaul, chief executive for the Center for Asia Pacific Aviation in India. And, he said, “there are virtually no funds available.”

While Mr. Patel, the civil aviation minister, would not comment on individual airlines, he did say that the government would not block further consolidation or prevent a carrier from closing. Many airlines should have been better prepared, he added. “Some of these guys in the best days didn’t go big time to the markets and raise money,” he said.

But the latest Indian Government statistics show the country’s domestic passenger market shrunk 11% in May. The civil aviation minstry statement says India’s airlines carried 3.9 million passengers, up from 3.3 million passengers carried in April.  Kingfisher retained the number one position it assumed in April, carrying 1 million passengers for 26% marketshare. Characteristically, Mr. Mallya is undeterred. Kingfisher Airlines “enjoys business from both” low-fare and premium passengers, he said, “which is one of the reasons why Kingfisher Airlines flew more than a million passengers in May 2009.”  But recent attritition of the top management team indicate there maybe some cause for concern.  Ramki Sundaram, executive vice-president at Kingfisher Airlines Ltd and former chief executive officer of Deccan Aviation Ltd, has resigned. Sundaram has been an investment banker in the aviation industry for at least a decade. He was instrumental in structuring aircraft sales and lease-back deals for Deccan Aviation, which ran Air Deccan, the country’s first low-fare airline, till it was acquired by and later merged with Kingfisher Airlines. Kingfisher Airlines’ vice-president, operations, D.D. Gandhi, one of the carrier’s first employees, left the company earlier in June.  Gandhi had joined Kingfisher in 2005 after a year with Deccan Aviation to head the airline’s domestic and international expansion.

To stem the tide, last week, Kingfisher hiked its fuel surcharge on tickets by 400 rupees across both long and short haul domestic routes. The company is reportedly looking to rollover around Rs 800 crore of its short term debt. It is also learnt to be finalizing the paper work for borrowing an additional Rs 1,500 crore from Indian public sector banks.  Kingfisher has also started exploring other ways to increase the traffic on its network. As of June 1, Kingfisher joined the Global Explorer, which features all members of the oneworld® alliance and some selected other airlines, which offers round-the-world fares. Members of oneworld alliance and some other non-member airlines which are part of the Global Explorer programme will now be able to offer fares for the Indian domestic network. Members of oneworld alliance serve five points in India but the addition of Kingfisher Airlines’ domestic network from today expands that to a further 62 getaways across the country. This is the first time an Indian domestic network is being offered for round-the-world fare programme.

(Source: New York Times, LiveMint.com, TravelbizMonitor)

Riches to Rags: Once powerful Porsche, now left struggling for power – Sales Fall 15%; VW dream turns into a nightmare; Arabs infuse money and get controlling stakes

June 19, 2009 at 10:15 am

A power struggle between Volkswagen chairman Ferdinand Piëch and Porsche’s management continued to intensify on Friday, just as the company announced that sales had crashed 15 percent.

Image Courtesy: Apture

Sales Tsunami

Friday’s numbers are creating a Tsunami of sorts at the German automaker. Bloomberg reports that Porsche SE’s sales for the period through April 30 declined to 4.64 billion euros ($6.46 billion) from 5.46 billion euros a year earlier, Stuttgart, Germany-based Porsche said today in a statement. The company reiterated that revenue and earnings will fall this fiscal year, based on “extremely poor business” in the first three months of 2009. Porsche’s nine-month vehicle deliveries fell 28 percent to 53,635 cars and SUVs, as Cayenne sales dropped 25 percent to 24,689 units. Deliveries of the 911 fell 18 percent to 20,254 cars. Sales of the less-costly Boxster model, including the Cayman version, fell 47 percent to 8,692 cars.

Changing Partners

The drop in sales will reduce Porsche’s options for paying back more than 9 billion euros of debt stemming from its purchase of a majority stake in Volkswagen AG, Europe’s biggest carmaker.   The sports car maker has entered exclusive talks with the Qatar Investment Authority, the sovereign wealth fund of the energy-rich Persian Gulf emirate. It could acquire as much as 25 percent of Porsche’s voting shares, which have long kept the Porsche family firmly in charge. The Qataris, who would get a seat on Porsche’s supervisory board, may also purchase the options Porsche has on VW shares.  Qatar could bring as much as €5 billion into the company, analysts estimate, helping to relieve the €9 billion debt load that Porsche incurred to acquire 50.76 percent of Volkswagen.

To tide it over, Porsche has applied for a loan of €1.75 billion from a fund the German government set up in March to help companies through the financial crisis. The request is being reviewed in Berlin, with a response expected in the coming days or weeks.

Dream Turned NightMare

Interestingly, the New York Times has a wonderful article explaining how Porsche’s top enchilada reacted to this reversal of fortunes.  When Wolfgang Porsche learned that his family’s sports-car maker, once bent on taking over Volkswagen, now had to beg its giant rival for money, he looked as if he were going to faint.  “He went absolutely white,” said one person briefed on that secret meeting, which involved executives from both companies. “It was as though he’d heard someone died.” A day later, on March 23, fax machines around Germany spit out a piece of paper for Volkswagen’s board members to sign: an emergency loan of €700 million, or $977 million, for Porsche from its former prey — Volkswagen.

Mr. Porsche is now on the verge of accepting Porsche’s integration into Volkswagen, rather than the hoped-for David-versus-Goliath takeover. On top of that embarrassment, Porsche also is seeking outside investors and a government bailout.

“This is becoming a reverse takeover on a financial level,” said Arndt Ellinghorst, head of automotive research at Credit Suisse in London. “Porsche has debt and VW has the luxury of cash.”

The company has responded to the sales drop by periodically suspending production. Porsche will halt work for two days between now and the end of July for a total cutback of 21 days for the fiscal year, Albrecht Bamler, a spokesman, said today.

Controlled by the Porsche and Piech families, the sports- car maker dropped its Volkswagen takeover plans on May 6, saying it will seek talks on creating an “integrated” company that would put Porsche alongside Volkswagen’s nine brands, which also include luxury unit Audi and mass-market manufacturer Skoda. Porsche said today that “there is a consensus” among family members to continue with creating an integrated group.

Arrival of Mr. McNasty & Blame Game

This change in fortunes has brewed a nastiness at the top levels of Porsche’s management that’s unseen in the history of the carmarker.  Controlled by the Porsche and Piech families, the sports- car maker dropped its Volkswagen takeover plans on May 6, saying it will seek talks on creating an “integrated” company that would put Porsche alongside Volkswagen’s nine brands, which also include luxury unit Audi and mass-market manufacturer Skoda. Porsche said today that “there is a consensus” among family members to continue with creating an integrated group.

Porsche CEO Wendelin Wiedeking and Piëch have been exchanging increasingly nasty words in recent days, the daily Süddeutsche Zeitung reported Friday. Piëch blames Wiedeking for increasing the company’s mountain of debt, now around €9 billion, in a failed attempt to take over Volkswagen.

Wiedeking, in turn, has said Piëch has harmed the company with his public criticisms at a sensitive time when the two companies are discussing a merger. Piëch is the grandson of Porsche founder Ferdinand Porsche and left a career at the company to work for Volkswagen in the 1990s.

In a letter to Piëch dated May 13, cited by the newspaper, Wiedeking warned Piëch that he would be help “personally responsible” if Porsche were harmed by Piëch’s verbal assaults. In the rarified world of German boardrooms, such strong language is almost unheard of and reflects the complex pressures brought on by rivalries between the Piëch and Porsche clans, collapsing car sales, industry consolidation and a credit crunch brought on by the financial crisis.

If this is not enough drama wait till you see what happens in the months ahead.  Looking ahead, the company declined to give a precise forecast but said sales were likely to fall below the level in its previous fiscal year.

(Source: The Local, New York Times, Bloomberg)

Google Transit delivers “Dump the Pump” day gift for urbanites – Now you can use voice search on Trip Planner

June 18, 2009 at 10:46 pm

Image Courtesy: joannapenabickley.typepad.com

Personally, I am a big fan of Google Transit and Google’s approach to making transit a bit more easy for the general public. Today (June 18) being the “Dump the Pump Day” sponsored by the American Public Transit Association, the good folks at Google Transit published a post on their LatLong blog outlining how Google can help you find the transit options in the cities you live.

Here is an excerpt from the blog post by Jessica Wei, Strategic Partner Development Manager, Google Transit: Now, you may wonder how you can plan a transit trip easily if you’re not familiar with your local agency. The answer is – go to Google Maps. So far more than 100 agencies in the United States have made their data available in Google Maps through Google Transit Partner Program. In addition, Los Angeles Metro, City of Edmonton, Houston Metro, and Calgary Transit have released their GTFS data feed to the public so that developers can create innovative transit applications to further promote the awareness of public transportation.Now go to Google Maps on your computer or your cell phone, plan a transit trip, and go catch a train or bus. I bet your won’t miss the congested highway or increasing gas price!”

The last statement in the blog post caught my curiosity leaping and promoted a search on the web (of course using Google)to find out the mobile applications.  Surprise, Surprise!  I found out that this past weekend Google introduced a new version of its glossyMaps application for Android phones.

Version 3.1.0 brings with it several new features, including voice search to go with its text search field and transit and walking directions to go with step-by-step driving directions. “Whether you’re searching for an address, a business, or nearby windsurfing sports, just speak your query and Google Maps will find it,” Google wrote on its mobile blog. “After your search, you’ll see a map of places. To help you decide where to go, we’ve improved our business listings to include content such as store hours, prices, ratings, and reviews.”  Urbanites must be thrilled with this new addition!

Image Courtesy: Google Mobile Blog

The new features were tested by the folks at CNET and they were clearly impressed – an outcome that we have come to expect out of most Google products these days.

Here is what they had to say about the Trip Planner tool:  The trip planner in particular worked extremely well for San Francisco. As with the online version, Google’s Transit works in 250 cities. Indeed, Google Maps quickly and accurately planned and timed my commute, providing options for other routes in the near past and future. To get directions with public transit, tap “Directions'” from the menu, select the middle icon, of a bus, and enter the end point, which can be an address or a business name.

You’re also able to set a specific departure time or arrival time and day. For city-dwellers, accurate walking and transportation directions are a necessity.   Rolled into the release is an experimental feature. Updates, which is connected to Google Latitude, lets you actively change your Latitude status for friends to see–so long as they’re also using the latest version of Maps.

The erasure of Street View as its own map mode is another change you’ll see. Instead, it has been integrated into any search result where the view is applicable. Pressing a point on the map will also bring up a Street View thumbnail if there’s an available image.”

With the growing popularity of transit,  spread of Google Transit in more cities around the globe, such cool new features would make transit a compelling option.  It is a good time to recall that quote by New York Governor David Patterson “Google Maps for Transit is a truly innovative marriage of information and infrastructure. It is a perfect example of how the public and private sectors can partner together to benefit us all — and it didn’t cost New York taxpayers a penny. I applaud my colleagues at the MTA and Port Authority for making this a priority, and our friends at Google for continuing to make the world an easier place to navigate.”

We gotta admit that it definitely got a lot more easier to navigate as of this past weekend!

(Source: Google, CNET)

Cash for Clunkers Update: Bill hits Speed Bump in the Senate;Hyundai Top Beneficiary of UK’s”scrappage” plan; Global sales slump reported

June 18, 2009 at 2:32 pm

(Source: Detroit Free Press, The Detroit News, The Auto Channel, The Examiner, EEtimes.com)

Cash for Clunkers hit a speed bump Tuesday, June 16, 2009, in the U.S. Senate. It appears some Senators have “bailout fatigue” in general and “auto industry bailout fatigue” in particular. According to The Detroit News, Republican Senators are pushing back, citing the $85 billion in aid already provided to prop up ailing and bankrupt GM and Chrysler.

Image Courtesy: Apture

Some Democrats, including Diane Feinstien (D-California) also oppose the bill in its current form because they think it does not go far enough to improve fuel economy of vehicles on American Roads (there are, of course, Republicans in the opposition, but they oppose the measure because they think we’ve already spent too much money on the auto industry). As reported earlier, a Cash for Clunkers provision was added last week to a $106 billion bill to fund the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. The idea was to attach a Cash for Clunkers provision to an existing bill already moving through the Senate so quick passage could be assured. Wrong.

Senators who support Cash for Clunkers need 60 votes to keep the Cash for Clunkers provision from being removed from the wartime funding bill. That could prove to be a problem.

Just hours after Sen. Judd Gregg, a New Hampshire Republican, denounced the inclusion of the cash-for-clunkers amendment as “unfunded baggage” on the war spending bill this evening, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid delayed a vote until Thursday.

“It passes on new debt. Why would we do that?” Gregg asked in a floor speech. He said he would challenge the measure “at the appropriate time.” Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid delayed voting on the bill until Thursday.

Democrats control 58 seats in the Senate. But two — Edward Kennedy of Massachusetts and Robert Byrd of West Virginia — are ill. And Democrats led by Diane Feinstein of California have opposed the legislation as it stands, saying it does not do enough to boost fuel efficiency.

The legislation narrowly survived in the House, but for reasons mostly unrelated to the car-sales measure. Republicans were near unanimous in opposing the spending bill, objecting mostly to a provision that would boost International Monetary Fund lending.

“This bad legislation runs a con game on the American taxpayers and America’s military men and women,” said Rep. Mike Rogers, R-Brighton. He and five other Michigan Republicans voted no.

Michigan Democrat Debbie Stabenow urged quick passage of the stimulus.

“It will not help as a stimulus if it is done six months or a year from now,” she said.

If the Senate approves it, the measure will go to President Barack Obama for his signature. Then the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration will have 30 days to put regulations in place for the program which – under the war spending provision – will expire on Nov. 1.

In a related news item from across the Atlantic, Phakamisa Ndzamela writing for Reuters reported that South Korea’s Hyundai Motor Company has so far received the lion’s share of new car orders under the British government’s vehicle scrappage scheme, with sales boosted by an interest in smaller cars, according to figures obtained by Reuters.

The 300 million-pound ($491.9 million) scheme invites motorists to trade in cars more than 10 years old in return for a 2,000 pound subsidy to buy a new vehicle, in an effort to help an industry which has been severely dented by the recession.

The government earlier in the week said the scrappage scheme had resulted in 60,000 new orders in the period from April 22 to June 7.  Out of the 15 car companies in the UK that Reuters contacted, Hyundai was in pole position, stating that its latest figures, which covered the period from April 23 to June 7, amounted to 8,246 new orders

Ford came second in the number of car orders at 8,050 followed by Toyota at about 7,800 vehicles.  Following are company estimates of scrappage scheme new car orders covering the period April 22 to June 17:

  • Hyundai 8,246
  • Ford Motor Company 8,050
  • Toyota Motor Corp 7,800
  • Kia Motors UK 7,300
  • Volkswagen 4,591
  • Vauxhall 3,909
  • Nissan 3,202
  • Renault 2,600
  • Peugeot 2,500
  • Citroen 2,500
  • Honda 2,335
  • BMW and MINI 1,722
  • Mazda 1,355
  • Volvo 1,161
  • Chevrolet 950

EETimes.com reports thatcrisis in the global automotive market is far from over. In May, the European market fell by 5 percent against the same month last year. Nevertheless, within the region, local markets developed extremely different, with Germany adding 40 percent (in terms of units) and Russia declining 57 percent. The reason for the hefty differences were the public incentives for buyers who scrapped their old car and bought a new one in some countries.  The US market has declined by 37 percent over the first five months this year. In may, sales for light vehicles declined by almost 34 percent to 923.000 units.  In contrast to other countries, the incentives in the United States will be connected to the fuel efficiency difference between old and new car.  Japan also fared weak, with sales declining 17 percent in May and 22 percent for the first five months.  the emerging markets, the crisis was far less pronounced. Brazil added 3 percent, boosted by an incentive program. India declined 1 percent in May, but over the first five months the market developed slightly positive with a plus of 2 percent. In China, the economic stimulus package and the reduction of sales tax on cars led to an increase by 55 percent in May. In that month, in China 728.000 light vehicles were sold. Thus, the Chinese market has become extremely relevant for European and Japanese car exporters. As a comparison: The entire European market (not restricted to EC countries) had a volume of 1.3 million units.

In light of all that’s reported, it seems the U.S. politicans needs to do everything to promote Automobile sales, including the passage of this Cash for Clunkers bill.  Wrangling over the details of a bill that can spur auto sales could have some severe consequences on the economy.  Will they do it?  Let’s hope so!

Transportation Reauthorization Updates for June 18, 2009: Bill Outline released; LaHood Blogs, Oberstar stays upset & moves press briefing to 2PM; etc., etc…

June 18, 2009 at 10:59 am

(Source: NY Times, USDOT Secretary’s FastLane Blog, AP via Google, Transportation for America)

Late-breaking: The full outline of Rep. Oberstar’s proposed bill is now available on Transportation for America’s website.  For those readers brave enough to wade into 90 pages of policy detail, please click here to download a copy of the PDF file.  Personally,  (after a super-quick glance) I was left scracting my head about the directions of cutting edge programs like Intelligent Transportation Systems. Absolutely no mention of it except under some transit discussion.  Also, I did not see any references to how this program will help spur the infrastructure development aspects of electric vehicles (like charging stations, etc)? Possibly dealt through CMAQ or other climate-friendly avenues in ths bill?  Would love to know what y’all found out after a careful reading of the outline.  Please leave your thoughts in the comments sections below.

With plans for a six-year, $450 billion transportation bill hung up over the question of how to pay for it, the Obama administration said Wednesday that it wanted to put off the thorniest questions for now. Instead, officials proposed essentially extending the existing law for 18 months and finding a short-term way to pay for highway and transit projects.

Rather than face a series of three-month extensions of the law, which has happened in the past, Mr. LaHood said it would be less disruptive for everyone to plan for an year-and-a-half extension now. “We think this is the most realistic approach,” he said.  In an interview with Bloomberg, LaHood describes his decision as one to “face reality” instead of “stringing Congress along with three-month or six-month extensions.”

The media reports indicate there is a serious fight happening in the Hill between the Secretary and the folks who spent months working on this bill.  The AP report states that at LaHood’s request, Oberstar and key members of the committee met with the transportation secretary Wednesday morning, a half hour before the congressman was scheduled to brief reporters on his bill. LaHood laid out for the surprised lawmakers a plan that seeks to approve money for transportation for another 18 months, eliminating the likelihood that highway and other transportation projects would come to a halt for lack of dollars. The plan would require Congress to approve an estimated $13 billion to $18 billion in stopgap cash.

Rep. John Mica, the senior Republican on the transportation committee, likened LaHood’s presentation of the finance plan to a bomb being dropped on committee members.

“That’s a real slap in the face to a lot of hard work … earth-shattering,” Mica said. “I would have been mortified if this had been done to me under Bush.”

LaHood asked to meet with Oberstar as soon as the administration worked out the details of its plan and went straight to Capitol Hill, said Jill Zuckman, a Transportation Department spokeswoman.

For his part, the Secrtary used his blog to convince the public that he did what he and the Obama administration think is the best approach rather than  rushing for a reuathorization bill.

Here are his words: ” Yesterday and today, I briefed members of Congress on the Highway Trust Fund situation and proposed an immediate 18-month highway reauthorization that will replenish the Fund. This is an unusual step, I know. But, with the Fund likely to run out of money by late August, it’s a little too late to worry about business as usual.

Beyond keeping the Highway Trust Fund solvent, an immediate 18-month reauthorization provides Congress the time it needs to fully deliberate the direction of America’s transportation priorities. That’s the kind of thoughtful decision-making America deserves.”

Making a case for his proposal, Sec. LaHood first brought up why we are in this mess and how the Highway Trust Fund went south over the years and months past.

Image Courtesy:USDOT Secretary Ray LaHood's Blog - Fast Lane

As the chart below shows, even in years of relative economic security and gas-price stability, the Highway Trust Fund ended the fiscal year with less money than it started. He pointed to the change in the consumption patterns of the US consumer who was losing sleep over the economic concerns that rocked the country (as well as the entire planet).   The prolonged economic insecurity and gas-price volatility, like the one we experienced in 2008, when people bought less gas and Fund’s revenue source dropped off  (evident from the chart above). Congress had to kick in an extra $8 billion to the Fund. He warned that the Fund is likely to run out of money once again, and soon. Expenditures will stop; states will be in danger of losing the vital transportation funding they need and expect; projects will shut down; jobs will be lost.  That’s the road we’re on right now. Once again, the Highway Trust Fund will need a massive cash infusion.

Can we really go through this every year? Is that really the best this Nation can do?.  With that question, he brought the hammer down on Oberstar’s plans. saying “I don’t think so. That’s why I went to the Hill yesterday and why I’ll be there today.”  He strengthened his argument for his delayed reuathorization proposal, saying “Time is running out, and the Highway Trust Fund must be made solvent. Then, and only then, can this country get the kind of thorough transportation discussion needed to address our infrastructure investments in a smarter, more focused way, a way that best meets the real demands of the country.”

Representative James L. Oberstar, who is chairman of the Transportation and Infrastructure Committee, still plans to introduce a new bill’s outline today at 2PM (The House T & I Committee Twitter note annoucned that the 11AM briefing is now moved to 2PM), but Democrats said they had not determined how to pay for it.  Oberstar had been counting on a looming Oct. 1 deadline — that’s when the current law authorizing federal highway and transit programs expires — to force lawmakers to make tough decisions on how to pay for transportation programs over the next six years.But Oberstar’s spokesman Jim Berard conveyed the Chairman’s displeasure:  “The chairman is not too pleased with the administration’s proposal.”

All is not bad for the Secretary.  He enjoyed the support of some of his powerful allies in the Senate.  Sen. Barbara Boxer (D-CA), chairman of the Environment and Public Works Committee and a key player in the federal transportation re-write, expressed her support for the delayed reauthorization proposal put forward by the Secretary.  “I am very pleased that the White House is being proactive in working with the Congress to address the shortfall in the Highway Trust Fund.  As we work our way out of this recession, the last thing we want to do is to drastically cut back on necessary transportation priorities.  The White House proposal to replenish the Trust Fund until 2011 will keep the recovery and job creation moving forward and give us the necessary time to pass a more comprehensive multi-year transportation authorization bill with stable and reliable funding sources.”

Two congressionally mandated transportation commissions — one in 2008 and one earlier this year — have recommended raising gas taxes as the most practical solution for making up projected declines in revenue over the next several years. The most recent commission also recommended moving to a system that would use GPS technology to tax motorists based on the number of miles they drive as the best long-term revenue solution.

Either step is expected to be politically difficult.

DeFazio said the administration’s plan risks tens of thousand of jobs because contractors need cash commitments beyond 18 months for major, multiyear construction projects.

LaHood acknowledged his plan will be unpopular with some lawmakers and transportation interest groups.

“With the reality of our fiscal environment and the critical demand to address our infrastructure investments in a smarter, more focused approach, we should not rush legislation,” LaHood said in a statement. “We should work together on a full reauthorization (bill) that best meets the demands of the country. The first step is making sure that the Highway Trust Fund is solvent. The next step is addressing our transportation priorities over the long term.”

Late Breaking Update: Transportation for America(T4America), the ever popular website that has been a great source for reauthorization updates just made available a summary of  Rep. Obsertar’s proposed bill (shown below, courtesy of T4America)and a 10 page breakdown of the consolidated/terminated programs. A quick analysis by T4America reveals Oberstar proposal terminates or consolidates 75 federal programs from the program and recommends a consolidation into a “performance based framework”.  Read the 17p summary and the 10p breakdown of consolidated/terminated programs now on the T4America blog.